Our weekly feature on Bitcoin. Our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change this week
On Sunday, October 22, bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $29.9 thousand, its price has increased by 11.5% since the end of the previous week. Our experts have analyzed the situation on the market and assessed the prospects of bitcoin exchange rate movement for the next seven days.
Key events of the past week:
- Bitcoin price surge of 5% to $28,500 on Oct. 16 amid false rumors of bitcoin ETF approval in the US.
- Comments from the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve on October 19 about a cautious approach to raising rates, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.
- New price rise on October 20 to the $30k mark on comments from the head of the SEC about reviewing applications for bitcoin ETFs.
- Bitcoin price up 10% for the week to $30,207
This week, bitcoin’s momentum was primarily driven by news and statements from US regulators regarding the prospects of launching a bitcoin ETF.
On Monday, October 16, the bitcoin rate rose sharply by 5% from the level of $27,000 to $28,500. The reason was the spread of false information that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) allegedly approved the bitcoin ETF from BlackRock. Although the news turned out to be fake, the price tested the psychological level of $30 thousand and showed the potential for growth of 20-30% after the actual launch of the product.
On Tuesday and Wednesday, October 17-18, the price consolidated in the range of $28,000 – $28500, waiting for signals from regulators.
On October 19, a speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported the price growth to $28,700. His comments about a cautious approach to further rate hikes strengthened bitcoin as a risk hedging tool.
On Friday, October 20, bitcoin rose 3.33% to $29,669. The growth started from the Asian session and accelerated at the beginning of the European session. The BTC/USDt pair was rising to $30207. The first time buyers tested the $30k level .It was on October 16 on fake news about the approval of BlackRock’s application to open a spot bitcoin-ETF. Despite the denial of the rumors. They allowed investors to see the potential for bitcoin to strengthen once the ETF was officially approved.
Companies that have filed are expecting SEC filings to be approved within 3-6 months. And that fits the timeline for the upcoming halving in April 2024.
Gary Gansler, Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), gave an interview to Bloomberg. And in which he talked about the current status of applications for the spot bitcoin-ETF. He emphasized that the SEC staff uses a time-tested process to review exchange products. And respond to inquiries by providing feedback to potential applicants.
The growth of quotations was limited due to the fall of stock indices in the United States. They were under pressure after the speech of FRB Cleveland President Loretta Mester. She said that the U.S. economic management bodies assess the current conditions as favorable for raising the interest rate. However, the final decision will depend on the dynamics of incoming macro data and changes in risks. An important factor is that the target range for the rate is already on hold. And that may limit the scope for further increases.
What will happen this week
At the moment, the BTC/USDt pair is trading at $29,815. Based on technical analysis, it is worth giving a favorable situation for further growth above the $30 thousand mark. According to BitRiver estimates, the “bull market” will last until November 9. Although a return to the level of $28,500 within the framework of a local correction, which is considered a normal situation, is not excluded.
It is quite obvious that the acceleration of price growth will strengthen the positions of buyers and encourage waiting investors to open long positions. At the same time, the movement near the level of $30 th. should not create obstacles. From October 26 it is possible to start conquering new levels. Until the end of the year, buyers still have a lot of work to do to renew the historical high after the halving.
Next week, data from the U.S. will include the first estimates of third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth, expected on Thursday. In addition, consumer inflation data is expected on Friday. Including core personal consumption expenditures (PCE). This data will be important ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on November 1.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have suggested. That interest rates will remain unchanged in the short term. And may have peaked if inflation does not rise. Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday, October 25.