How can relaunch of FTX exchange with its bad reputation go

Our experts talked about the likely scenarios for resuming the business of bankrupt exchange FTX and prospects for its native token. Review by Crypto-Upvotes experts

The bankrupt crypto exchange FTX may reopen. The platform’s new CEO, John Ray, told The Wall Street Journal that he considers that a possibility.

When FTX collapsed in November 2022, triggering the collapse of the crypto market and a series of new problems for major industry players. John Ray then took over the company and began the bankruptcy process, while examining its surviving assets. He says a task force under his leadership is now looking into the possibility of restarting FTX.

When restarting business exchange affected customers can expect to return funds in a larger amount than in the case of the liquidation of its assets or the sale of the platform. This week, FTX lawyers disclosed $3.5 billion in surviving liquid assets of the exchange.

Confidence in this exchange is lost, but how to get it back?

Our experts doubt in reality of FTX relaunch, because its reputation is the worst. But the cryptocurrency market has seen more than that, they say, remembering the relaunch of exchange BTC-e under new brand WEX in 2017. According to our expert, FTX will need new investors to revive its business. Who will help avoid bankruptcy and invest in a marketing campaign to attract users.

A system of incentives for those who have a lot of money on FTX, will also be needed. FTX could issue new tokens corresponding to deposit debt. Which will be gradually redeemed as the exchange has funds.

A similar experience took place on the Bitfinex exchange with its BFX debt tokens. Which were accrued to affected users after a major hacking attack in 2016. Such a move helped Bitfinex fully pay off its debts to customers a year after the incident.

FTX may take a year to two years to recover until all liabilities are paid. FTX relaunch can only happen for the U.S. market, and only with full compliance with local regulators, says our expert.

As Bitfinex experience shows, user trust and trading volumes can be restored, but only partially. Bitfinex was once the largest crypto exchange. But after hacking and the emergence of a major competitor in the form of Binance, this platform has long been not even in the top 3 in global leaders. FTX may indeed be back in the game, but it is unlikely to regain its former credibility. New team of exchange will first of all have to pay debts to users. And prove that it does not use the same scam methods as the old team.

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Funds outflow from CEX exchanges has intensified. What will it lead to?

Our experts told us what consequences may arise due to reduced liquidity on CEX exchanges. And how it will affect cryptocurrency prices

FTX exchange collapse caused a significant outflow of funds from centralized platforms. According to analytical platform CryptoQuant, after November 6, when it became known about problems FTX. CEX exchanges users withdrew 200 thousand BTC ($3.35 billion). As well as about 2 million Ethereum ($2.4 billion) and nearly $3 billion in Stablecoin.

For example, from Binance, users withdrew 81.7 thousand bitcoins ($1.35 billion) in just six days, or more than 15% of the total amount of bitcoins on this exchange. However, the head of Binance, Changpeng Zhao, called the surge in withdrawals small and explained that this is normal during a fall in cryptocurrency market.

Where do cryptocurrency owners transfer their funds?

Ordinary investors experience panic when there are some problems on centralized exchanges and market in general. And has a great desire to hide his funds to feel more relaxed. According to him, users primarily withdraw assets to decentralized wallets.

Means in these purses can not only store, but also exchange on the decentralized exchanges (DEX). After FTX started having problems, the number of such transactions increased dramatically.

In the last 24 hours alone, trading volume on DEX exchanges has increased by 38.66%, according to data from the CoinMarketCar platform.

Currently, the leading DEX platforms are Uniswap (v3), Curve (Ethereum), and PancakeSwap (v2). According to our analysts, daily trading volume on the first of them is more than $908 million, on the second and third – $170 million and $150 million, respectively.

In addition to decentralized storage, cryptocurrency owners began to take an active interest in hardware wallets. In the past week, revenue from the sales of Trezor devices grew by 300%. And competing company Ledger also recorded a significant surge in demand for its devices.

Reduced liquidity in CEX exchanges and the whole cryptocurrency market in general, what can it lead to?

Crypto market is now driven by investors’ fear of losing their investments. Reduced liquidity of crypto market and general pessimism mean a further decline in value of cryptocurrencies.

This process has a negative impact on the crypto market, it “slows” it down. This means it is not worth waiting for the recovery yet. Growth of crypto market can be forgotten for a while, now the main thing is not to fall even deeper.

However, our experts believe that cryptocurrencies are unlikely to hold out. The crypto market has not yet realized the scale of the disaster. Lack of liquidity leads to a decrease in trading volume. And hence, the profitability of trading platforms deteriorates greatly.

Large scale capital outflows can lead to a domino effect. One company is followed by collapse of other companies that are connected by common transactions. Some cryptoprojects have already reported financial difficulties caused by the collapse of FTX.

For example, crypto exchange AAX suspended withdrawals and said it lacked liquidity to continue operations. And cryptocurrency lender BlockFi is preparing a bankruptcy filing.

The next two weeks will show how serious the situation in cryptocurrency market is. According to our analyst, new bankruptcy filings will mean a massive collapse of the whole crypto industry.

Participants of trading on CEX exchanges may find it difficult to sell some coins quickly

This could happen because the outflow of assets from such exchanges reduces the volume of liquidity on them. Most likely, popular coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Stablecoin will not be affected. But some altcoins traded in tandem with Bitcoin or ether may suffer, according to our expert. Their liquidity will be low. This means traders will prefer not to deal with such liquidity. And prices for these altcoins will go down, largely due to the lack of active trading on exchanges.

“It’s a market, it’s all interconnected. The churn is mostly in Bitcoin and Stabelcoin, and all other pairs are losing liquidity,” explains our expert.

Traders can now pay attention to native coins DEX-exchanges. In addition, our expert noted that DEX crypto wallet tokens may also show growth in price.

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