Our weekly feature. Our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change in the coming week for Bitcoin and the market as a whole.

On Sunday, October 29, bitcoin ( $BTC ) is trading at $34.2k. And its price has increased by 14.5% since the end of the previous week. Our experts have analyzed the situation on the market and assessed the prospects of bitcoin rate movement for the next seven days.

Last week’s analysis and highlights:

• Bitcoin price rose to $35,280 amid optimism around bitcoin-ETF approval.
• The SEC has been officially mandated to review Grayscale’s application to launch a spot bitcoin-ETF.
• SEC Commissioner Hester Pearce stated that the spot bitcoin-ETF should have been approved 5 years ago.
• The DXY dollar index hit a one-month low but was able to recoup all of its losses.
• After the rally, the price entered a consolidation between $33k and $35k.

Bitcoin has been trading in a range of $32,400 to $35,280 this week. On Monday, the price rose to $34,741. And on Tuesday, it reached a high of $35,280. This was followed by a correction to $33,390 on Friday.

On October 23, bitcoin rose 10.26% to $33,069. The rise was driven by several factors. First, the DXY dollar index hit a one-month low on the back of falling US government bond yields. Second, a U.S. court upheld the SEC’s review of Grayscale’s application to launch a spot bitcoin ETF. Thirdly, the rally was supported by technical factors – liquidation of short positions worth $161 mln and breakthrough of important resistance levels.

On October 24, the price of bitcoin rose 2.58% to a high of $35,280. Among the growth factors is the decision of the U.S. court obliging the SEC to reconsider Grayscale’s application. As well as news that BlackRock has assigned a ticker to a bitcoin-ETF pending approval. In addition, support came from a weakening dollar. However, by the evening, the dollar index reversed upward, stopping the bitcoin price growth.

On October 25, the price growth slowed to 1.69%, to the level of $34,496. Amid expectations of bitcoin-ETF approval, investors ignored the strengthening of the dollar and the decline in stock indices. Investors’ attention was drawn to the upcoming halving. Bitcoin’s share of the crypto market rose to 51.4%.

On October 26, the price of bitcoin fell by 1% to $34,151. The market was pressured by the strengthening of the dollar and the fall of technology stocks in the United States. The Nasdaq index fell by 2% and the S&P 500 fell by 1.2%. US 10-year bond yields fell to 4.88%. Fears of recession in the US have increased.

On October 27, the BTC/USDt pair fell by 0.76% to $33,892. During the U.S. session, the price declined to $33,390 amid falling stock indices. Since the end of July, the S&P500 index has fallen 10.2% to 4137. This week, US Q3 GDP data beat expectations, showing the economy accelerating at the fastest pace since mid-2021. Despite US Q3 GDP and expectations of a rate hike in December, fears of a recession in the country remain. Inflation continues to worry the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index showed that consumer price expenditures rose at the fastest monthly pace since May. But the annual PCE fell slightly in September, renewing concerns about high interest rates.

What’s in store for us next week with Bitcoin

We have a busy week ahead of us. The focus of economic data will be on employment numbers, including the ADP private sector employment report on Wednesday. And jobless claims on Thursday. And non-farm payrolls on Friday.

The market expects current monetary policy to remain in place. And despite the strong economy and tight labor market as inflation slows. But remains above the target level. In addition, the ISM Services report on business activity index in the US and China is expected. Geopolitical events also remain key drivers for traditional assets. Investors will continue to analyze the results of corporate reports.

The BTC/USDt pair is trading above $34k. According to the volume analysis, buying has noticeably decreased since Friday. This is understandable, because the price is in a sideways trend for a long time without continuing the rally. And when the price stands for a long time, the two-day flat starts to get on investors’ nerves. At this time short-term speculators, working on the downside, start to get involved.

By cyclic analysis there are no changes. The growth phase should last until November 9. Conditions are still favorable for growth.

An alarm bell for buyers may be the absence of upward movement after the speech of J. Powell on Wednesday after the FOMC meeting. According to the latest data from CME Group, rates will remain in the range of 5.25-5.50 with a 99.9% probability on Nov. 1 and an 80% probability on Dec. 13.

BitRiver forecasts that the decline phase may last from November 9 to November 21. Closing the day below $32,700 is likely to be a precursor to the beginning of the correction phase. For the correction, $31,700 should be selected as a support target level. Conclusions of our experts: We are waiting for the rate decision, Powell’s speech and the US labor market report.

The Bitcoin price rose sharply, having updated the annual maximum. Our experts named the factors influencing the growth of the cryptocurrency’s price and its future goals

On October 24, the Bitcoin exchange rate rose sharply to 35 thousand. And reaching a level that was last recorded in May 2022. A few hours before the growth began, it became known that two major companies – BlackRock and Grayscale. Have come close to approving applications for their own exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for bitcoin. The launch of such ETFs is considered in the crypto community as a catalyst for a new bull cycle in the market.

The price movement came after details of BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF called iShares Bitcoin Trust appeared on a list. Which is maintained by the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC).

Various exchange traded funds (ETFs), including gold, have trillions of dollars in assets under management. In the crypto community, it is commonly believed that even a small percentage of this capital can potentially impact the global crypto market. Several management companies are now awaiting approval of their own bitcoin ETFs from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

If their ETFs are approved, the demand for cryptocurrency will increase: buying shares of the funds implies the delivery of bitcoin as an underlying asset. That is, its direct purchase in the market, affecting the exchange rate. Under the management of BlackRock alone are assets totaling about $9 trillion. According to the assessment of the analytical company Chainalusis, it is North America is the largest cryptocurrency market. And its annual turnover is approximately $1.2 trillion. This amount exceeds 24% of the global annual volume of transactions in cryptocurrency.

Growth Factors

Shortly before the rise, it also became known that the court issued an order. Which requires the SEC to review Grayscale’s application to convert its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into a full-fledged spot bitcoin-ETF. Grayscale has been seeking this since 2021, when it first sued the regulator. And challenging its past denials of its application. The amount of assets in its trust exceeds $19 billion.

The growth of the last few days is a consequence of the realization of a complex of factors, our experts believe. On the one hand, a significant buying position was formed in the range of $26-28 th. And that is clearly seen by the growth of open interest in recent weeks.

The change of trend to bullish has taken place ?

Another important factor that added impetus to the growth of bitcoin rate. It was the exit from the narrow trading range, formed since the summer, our experts explain. This led to the liquidation of a significant volume of short positions.

During the day, a sharp rise in the rate of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies provoked a mass forced closing of traders’ marginal positions. And who were unable to add collateral to their orders. More than 70% of them were in “short”, that is, betting on the fall of the market. According to the Coinglass service, which tracks the wallets of major crypto exchanges, positions totaling $400 million were forcibly liquidated from October 23 to October 24.

What will happen next with the BTC price

Judging by the current momentum towards $35 thousand, the price movement is in an active phase. And it is unlikely that the market will start fixing positions in the near future. The realization of the main factor (ETF approval) is still far away, and market participants will continue to form long positions in anticipation of this event.

From the point of view of technical analysis, there was a “void” after the level of $31.5 th. And we quickly covered this distance after the breakdown at the expense of traders. Who took short positions (in particular, those who traded a potential “Head and Shoulders” in the daily range).

“Head and Shoulders” is one of the most famous technical analysis figures indicating a trend reversal. It appears on the chart when a new price peak is drawn after an uptrend, but already below the maximum price. The maximum price peak is seen as a “head”, and the surrounding lower peaks are seen as “shoulders”. When the price crosses the so-called neck line, it often means a change of trend.

Further big players will continue to provoke liquidation of short positions even for those traders who trade with low leverage. The next target our experts call fixing of the price at the level of $36 thousand. In this regard, our experts continue to expect reaching the level of $40 th. by the end of this year.

Our weekly feature on Bitcoin. Our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change this week

On Sunday, October 22, bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $29.9 thousand, its price has increased by 11.5% since the end of the previous week. Our experts have analyzed the situation on the market and assessed the prospects of bitcoin exchange rate movement for the next seven days.

Key events of the past week:

• Bitcoin price surge of 5% to $28,500 on Oct. 16 amid false rumors of bitcoin ETF approval in the US.
• Comments from the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve on October 19 about a cautious approach to raising rates, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.
• New price rise on October 20 to the $30k mark on comments from the head of the SEC about reviewing applications for bitcoin ETFs.
• Bitcoin price up 10% for the week to $30,207

This week, bitcoin’s momentum was primarily driven by news and statements from US regulators regarding the prospects of launching a bitcoin ETF.

On Monday, October 16, the bitcoin rate rose sharply by 5% from the level of $27,000 to $28,500. The reason was the spread of false information that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) allegedly approved the bitcoin ETF from BlackRock. Although the news turned out to be fake, the price tested the psychological level of $30 thousand and showed the potential for growth of 20-30% after the actual launch of the product.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, October 17-18, the price consolidated in the range of $28,000 – $28500, waiting for signals from regulators.

On October 19, a speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported the price growth to $28,700. His comments about a cautious approach to further rate hikes strengthened bitcoin as a risk hedging tool.

On Friday, October 20, bitcoin rose 3.33% to $29,669. The growth started from the Asian session and accelerated at the beginning of the European session. The BTC/USDt pair was rising to $30207. The first time buyers tested the $30k level .It was on October 16 on fake news about the approval of BlackRock’s application to open a spot bitcoin-ETF. Despite the denial of the rumors. They allowed investors to see the potential for bitcoin to strengthen once the ETF was officially approved.

Companies that have filed are expecting SEC filings to be approved within 3-6 months. And that fits the timeline for the upcoming halving in April 2024.

Gary Gansler, Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), gave an interview to Bloomberg. And in which he talked about the current status of applications for the spot bitcoin-ETF. He emphasized that the SEC staff uses a time-tested process to review exchange products. And respond to inquiries by providing feedback to potential applicants.

The growth of quotations was limited due to the fall of stock indices in the United States. They were under pressure after the speech of FRB Cleveland President Loretta Mester. She said that the U.S. economic management bodies assess the current conditions as favorable for raising the interest rate. However, the final decision will depend on the dynamics of incoming macro data and changes in risks. An important factor is that the target range for the rate is already on hold. And that may limit the scope for further increases.

What will happen this week

At the moment, the BTC/USDt pair is trading at $29,815. Based on technical analysis, it is worth giving a favorable situation for further growth above the $30 thousand mark. According to BitRiver estimates, the “bull market” will last until November 9. Although a return to the level of $28,500 within the framework of a local correction, which is considered a normal situation, is not excluded.

It is quite obvious that the acceleration of price growth will strengthen the positions of buyers and encourage waiting investors to open long positions. At the same time, the movement near the level of $30 th. should not create obstacles. From October 26 it is possible to start conquering new levels. Until the end of the year, buyers still have a lot of work to do to renew the historical high after the halving.

Next week, data from the U.S. will include the first estimates of third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth, expected on Thursday. In addition, consumer inflation data is expected on Friday. Including core personal consumption expenditures (PCE). This data will be important ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on November 1.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have suggested. That interest rates will remain unchanged in the short term. And may have peaked if inflation does not rise. Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday, October 25.

Our weekly feature on Bitcoin. Our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change this week

Key points for the Bitcoin price this week:

• Continued regulatory pressure on crypto exchanges
• Negative market reaction to rising inflation in the U.S. and strengthening of the dollar
• Reduced risk appetite amid escalating conflict in the Middle East.
• The technical picture is generally on the side of the bulls, despite the weekly decline.
• Expectations of the current growth wave ending soon and the start of correction.

Bitcoin has shown volatile dynamics this week, reacting to various factors, both positive and negative.

On Monday, October 9, the price fell by 1.17% to $27,590. The main impact on the market was the growth of geopolitical risks on the background of the conflict between Israel and Hamas. And that led to the withdrawal of investors from risky assets, including bitcoin. In addition, since the beginning of the Asian session there was an increased demand for the dollar as a protective asset.

On Tuesday, October 10, bitcoin continued its decline by 0.72% to $27,390. It was negatively impacted by news from the crypto industry itself. It increased the pressure from regulators around the world on major cryptocurrency exchanges. Due to the increase in regulatory risks, buyer activity dropped noticeably, which caused bitcoin to fall.

On October 11, bitcoin continued to decline against the U.S. dollar – the price fell by 1.88% to $26,875. At the U.S. session, quotes were falling to $26,538. The crypto market continued to ignore the growth of stock indices and the weakening of the dollar on the forex, reacting to the negativity within the industry.

On Thursday, October 12, it continued its smooth decline by another 0.43% to $26,759. Low liquidity persisted in the market, with pressure now being exerted by the strengthening dollar. And the decline in the S&P 500 index and investors’ withdrawal from risky assets.

On Friday, October 13, the price rose slightly – by 0.38% to $26,862. In the morning there was growth on the positive from stock indices. But then, however, due to the deteriorating situation in the Middle East and Israel’s preparation for ground operation in the Gaza Strip, investors again began to get rid of risky assets.

This Week :

The BTC/USDt pair corrected by 50% to rise $24,901 to $28,580. BitRiver estimates that the advantage remains on the side of buyers, according to technical analysis. But given the continued pressure from geopolitical risks, the strengthening dollar, the decline in the S&P 500. And the ongoing crackdown on crypto exchanges by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). And buyers are scared because of fears of a return to $26,600.

Our experts believe that the growth phase will last until November 9, so we continue to wait for the price to recover to the psychological level of $30 thousand.

Our experts analyzed the state of the market and told us what will happen to the Bitcoin exchange rate in the coming month

October is going to be an interesting period for Bitcoin, which will largely determine further developments in the entire market.

The BTC market continues to stabilize after several events that affected its price in recent months. Bitcoin’s price has reached a one-year low. And at the same time falling by 13% from the July high, which was $31.5 thousand. The fall is due to the accumulation of funds by institutional investors. And that led to a decrease in the supply of BTC on exchanges. Now only 5.83% of the total amount of BTC is in the wallets of crypto exchanges.

Historical analysis shows that a decrease in bitcoin supply on exchanges is often associated with an increase in its price. However, despite this, the opposite trend was observed in September.

Grayscale has won a lawsuit against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over the conversion of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into a spot bitcoin-ETF. This has led to large purchases of BTC by institutional investors. And most of whom are storing assets in cold wallets to increase the safety of their funds. This has also contributed to a reduction in the supply of BTC on exchanges.

The bearish mood in the bitcoin market led to a decrease in trading activity. And the daily trading volume reached a low. However, if the market sentiment changes to bullish, the price of bitcoin, and with it the rest of the cryptocurrencies, will start to rise.

Data from In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) shows that if bitcoin overcomes the resistance at $28.5 thousand, it could stimulate the price to rise to $28.5 thousand. If trading volumes increase significantly, bitcoin’s next rally could exceed this level.

However, if the price drops below $25k, the forecast may be canceled and bearish sentiment may increase.

Hopes for an upward price movement are high

Historically, October is one of the strongest months for VTS. And in 69% of cases the first cryptocurrency grew. The situation in altcoins is a bit different. Many alternative coins have “rewritten the bottom” and continue to trade with about 90% discount. If bitcoin manages to consolidate above the zone outlined above, altcoins could return to early July levels. If Bitcoin manages to consolidate above the zone.

And which has been outlined above, altcoins could return to early July levels. Some coins could go higher. But such a prospect is better to assess individually for each project.

The last few months with a shortage of fresh liquidity. As well as fundamental factors that can return interest in digital assets, the positioning of participants on BTC does not change. And large players continue to “hold” (hold in anticipation of growth), while small players continue to lose money on derivatives inside the price range.

This directly affects the lack of strong price movements. And so far, it is very difficult to say for sure what exactly will be the trigger for a surge in volatility. However, our experts note that such a long sideways (“flat”) formation on BTC will definitely lead to a price explosion in the future.

Weekly feature: Our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change in the short term for Bitcoin

Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range for 28 days now, and there is a risk of a breakout down to $27,500.

In the week from August 6 to August 13, bitcoin demonstrated boring sideways dynamics. And in doing so, stuck in a narrow corridor between $28,700 and $30,400. It feels like Bitcoin is stuck in a traffic jam on the crypto highway and can’t get out of it.

Also investors are clearly bored and yawning as they stare at their monitor screens. Even inflation data in the U.S. could not cause strong price fluctuations. Quotes only slightly swung back and forth and returned back to the range.

Apparently, market participants are indecisive about the prospects of the Fed’s monetary policy. Until there is clarity about the September meeting and spot Bitcoin-ETFs, the price is likely to sleep.

The technical price pattern is not bad for price to consolidate above $30,400. But the lack of volatility in the market during the release of consumer and manufacturing inflation data begs the question.

In the week from August 14 through August 20 the trend line passes through $27,500. This level is the key support, below which it is impossible to fall. Its violation will cause the market to close long positions on the futures market and open the way to $25,300 for sellers. Our experts consider it ideal to stay above $27,800 until September and start a new rally in anticipation of a halving in 2024.

Bitcoin is actually benefiting from this, though. It is better to let it gather strength in a sideways trend. Before breaking into unpredictability with sharp ups and downs. Besides, the longer the consolidation lasts, the more powerful the subsequent spurt.

Conclusions:

Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow price corridor waiting for clarity on the Fed. The sideways dynamics is likely to persist. New catalysts are needed for an exit.

The Bitcoin market is in a long period of quiet. Our experts have analyzed this situation and made conclusions.

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing one of the least volatile periods in its history. And this raises doubts that noticeable jumps in the price of Bitcoin at all will take place in the future. This is what Glassnode analysts wrote in their weekly market report.

Bitcoin’s realized volatility in various month-to-year intervals has declined significantly this year, reaching multi-year lows. Volatility in the year-to-date range is at levels not seen since December 2016. According to the company’s metrics, this is the fourth such period.

The first time there was such a prolonged lull was during the bear market period in late 2015 and early 2016. The bear market of early 2018 was also accompanied by a lack of significant price swings. And in November of that year, it experienced a 50% collapse. However, this was followed by an upswing in April 2019, when Bitcoin’s price rose from $4k to $14k in three months. A prolonged consolidation also took place after March 2020, when the world adapted to the COVID-19 epidemic. Then there was a brief period of stability at the end of 2022.

Bitcoin volatility chart by Glassnode

The price range separating the seven-day high and low price is only 3.6%. In the history of the market, less than 5% of trading days have ever had a narrower weekly trading range. The 30-day price range is even narrower. Periods of consolidation and narrowing of a price range of this magnitude are extremely rare for Bitcoin.

Weekly lows and highs for the bitcoin price. Source: Glassnode

At the same time, Glassnode notes that the number of long-term Bitcoin holders has reached an all-time high, accounting for about 15.6 million BTC (75% of coins in circulation).

What’s next for the Bitcoin price, our experts’ opinions

In general, the technical picture on the daily charts “looks positive for the “bulls”. According to our experts’ estimates, the beginning of fall will be the starting point for a new growth phase. However, now the cyclic analysis points to the advantage of “bears”. And that in conditions of low volatility constrains the market.

Last week, the BTC/USDt pair declined on the background of strong statistics on US GDP. And which gives the Fed grounds for further tightening of monetary policy in the fight against inflation. This raises concerns for investors trading risky assets.

For now, uncertainty and regulatory risks remain amid tough statements from the head of the SEC. Low trading volumes increase the probability of BTC’s decline to the levels of $27,700 – $27,900. But in case of passing the $31,800 mark, the “bulls” will be able to regain the leading position.

Our experts told about opportunities to invest in crypto-assets with a link to the price of gold

It’s been more than 35 years since The Economist magazine published a cover story titled “Get ready for a world currency” with the name Phoenix and the year 2018 minted on the coin. This magazine partly influenced the credibility of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but many people don’t know about the story until now. The first notable hype around cryptocurrencies happened just in 2017-2018. And the top of the cryptocurrency market capitalization of that period was formed on January 8, 2018. The magazine was published on January 9, 1988, it said that in 30 years people will buy goods online and all price tags will be indicated in the new world currency.

Fiat currencies aren’t going anywhere. And it will be easier for states to manage their economies. It is possible that this is what the market maker took advantage of. And after all, thanks to this magazine, many people believed that in 2018 there was a new world currency, and bought cryptocurrencies at the peak of the price.

The main Bitcoin network was launched on January 3, 2009. And today it’s 2023, and settlements are still predominantly in dollars, some continue to believe that Bitcoin will eventually become the world currency that it is. But there is another option. Our experts allow varianto that under the new world currency hides ordinary gold. But in digitized or tokenized form.

In this variant it can be divided into dust and instantly make payment. And the proof of its originality will be recorded in the blockchain. We, on the other hand, believe in the value of the Tether USD (USDT) stablecoin today. And which is issued in this way, on the blockchain and backed by real financial instruments.

News is emerging that the BRICS countries are going to launch their own currency.

And some sources believe that it will be pegged to the value of gold or backed by gold reserves. In such a case BRICS comes to exchange of goods and resources. And it is practically a barter system of settlements between the countries. Gold will act as a unit of measurement in mutual settlements. Thus, everything will return to the original idea, when the dollar was backed by the gold reserve.

The blockchain organization with DPoS (Delegated Proof-of-Stake) consensus is most suitable for building such a payment system. This consensus algorithm was first developed by Dan Larimer in 2013 for his BitShares project. The DPoS protocol is also referred to as a form of “digital democracy”. The difference between DPoS and the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithm. And on which Ethereum (ETH) or Cardano (ADA) operate, is the separation of network participants into block producers and voters. If we project this idea into the form of a supranational digital currency. And it will turn out that citizens of countries choose the government. And the government sets up a node to validate transactions. Sooner or later, elections will also take place on the blockchain, and such a consensus will become more transparent.

For such a payment network, for example, the architecture of the EOS cryptocurrency would fit well. But it is clear that the government will not use the blockchains of existing cryptocurrencies.

The new currency will probably be backed by commodities or raw materials. Not the growth of any one country’s economy. It will be a separate network where each BRICS member will hold a node (node) of the network. When the consensus will be that even if one participant (node) of the network confirms a transaction (without considering the sender). And all others are against it, and such a transaction goes through, it will be called a multipolar world. In such a network, money will not be frozen by the decision of just one party, as in the case of the dollar or the euro. This would be the creation of a new model, where the old one would simply become obsolete and cease to be popular.

Investment option

Since the 2008 crisis, central banks have been actively buying gold. This has only happened once in history, before the dollar was decoupled from gold.

Today, you can buy tokenized gold, such as PAX Gold (PAXG). Each token is backed by one troy ounce of London gold in 400 ounce bars stored in Brink’s vaults. If you own PAXG, you own the underlying physical gold. And held in the custody of the Paxos Trust Company. Tether also issues tokenized Tether Gold (XAUt), but it is less trusted.

Our experts believe that gold is a more promising instrument for value saving in the coming years.

Gold is trading at $1930 an ounce today. Short-term we expect growth up to $2390.

Cryptocurrency exchange HashKey Exchange has been authorized to provide services to retail investors in Hong Kong

Cryptocurrency exchange HashKey Exchange has become the first company in Hong Kong. Which has been licensed under the region’s new licensing regime. And which allows cryptocurrencies to offer retail services.

HashKey has been granted Type 1 (securities transactions) and Type 7 (automated trading services) licenses. And can now serve retail investors in the region, the company said in a statement.

On April 27, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) issued a circular to banks to clarify the rules for opening accounts for cryptocurrency companies. The document clarifies how banks should conduct customer due diligence (CDD).

On June 1, 2023, Hong Kong introduced a new licensing regime for companies providing cryptocurrency trading services.

Our experts note that at the end of June, the Hong Kong unit of British bank HSBC allowed clients to trade shares of cryptocurrency ETFs. It was noted that the purchase of shares of four cryptocurrency exchange traded funds will be available to users through official trading applications.

Hong Kong’s first official crypto exchange HashKey Exchange will not provide services to users from 34 countries. Also including Russia, Iran, South Africa and Myanmar

The exchange does not restrict access to clients from the USA, Japan, China and a number of other countries. But on condition that they live in the territory of states where the circulation of digital assets is not restricted. They will have to confirm their location address and phone number during the verification procedure.

From the user agreement also became known that the processing of payments for the HashKey Exchange is engaged in the Asian division of the bank JPMorgan Chase. And one more partner bank will become ZA Bank in the future.

Weekly feature: our experts analyzed the market situation and told how it may change in the short term for Bitcoin

The week from July 31 to August 6 was relatively quiet. The BTC/USDt pair traded in the range of $28,585 – $30,047. Increased volatility in the market was observed on August 1 and 2. On August 1, the price of Bitcoin fell to $28,585. The market was pressurized by fears of regulatory action by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the crypto projects Hex, PulseChain and PulseX. The hack of the Curve crypto exchange was also negatively impacted. And as a result of which hackers stole about $50 million. Despite the fall in quotes in the first half of the day, the daily candle closed with growth at $29,705.

On August 2, Bitcoin was recovering to $30,047. There are two reasons that may have provided support for buyers:

The first one is the release of MicroStrategy’s Q2 2023 report. The company made a profit for Q2 and purchased 12,333 BTC. As of July 31, the company owns 152,800 BTC. The total BTC purchase price is $4.53 billion at an average price of $29,672 per 1 BTC.

Second – Fitch Ratings downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to AA+ due to a growing budget deficit and a buildup of government debt. The downgrade had a limited impact on the markets. And since with such debt it is an expected event. U.S. government debt service has nearly reached $1 trillion a year. At this rate, debt interest payments will soon become a major spending item in the U.S. budget. Hardly anyone will repay the debt. The share of the dollar is declining in international settlements and in central bank reserves. No matter what anyone says, U.S. bonds are becoming toxic.

Analysis of other factors

Friday’s U.S. labor market data points to a continued slowdown in job growth. 187,000 jobs were created in July. And that is below forecasts. And the figures for June were revised downward to 185k. That’s the smallest job gain since December 2020.

Although the unemployment rate has fallen. And wages have risen, the low rate of job growth suggests the labor market is gradually cooling under the influence of the Fed’s tighter monetary policy and a slowing economy. Companies are cutting back on hiring because of rising costs and an uncertain outlook.

Overall, the data points to weakening employee attitudes and cooling labor demand. This could have a dampening effect on inflation and cause the Fed to slow the pace of rate hikes. Nevertheless, the labor market remains relatively resilient despite the slowdown.

Despite a relatively quiet week in terms of economic events, the key indicator will be the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), which will be released on August 10. It will give an indication of the inflation rate and could affect the US Dollar’s performance and the Fed’s monetary policy expectations.

The dollar ended last week on a weak note after a five-day rally. And the question is whether it was a correction of the uptrend or the beginning of its reversal. Overall, the US inflation report will be a key benchmark in the coming week to understand the outlook for the dollar and monetary policy. Bitcoin did not take advantage of the dollar’s weakness, and that’s a bad thing, as its rebound and a decline in U.S. stock indices could bring down the market more.

Buyers’ activity in the crypto market is low due to fears of a new market crash

The U.S. Attorney’s Office is preparing charges against Binance. However, it fears that it may provoke a massive outflow of user funds, as in the case of the bankrupt FTX.

DOJ officials are rumored to be concerned that filing criminal fraud charges against Binance could cause panic. And mass withdrawals by customers, causing them to lose money and destabilize the entire cryptocurrency market.

Therefore, prosecutors are considering alternative options to punish Binance, such as fines, deferred prosecution, or a settlement agreement. This would avoid a harsh reaction from investors and negative consequences for the industry. A decision on what charges will ultimately be brought against Binance has not yet been made and is under review by the US Department of Justice.

Prospects

Our experts note that despite the local recovery, buyers failed to gain a strong foothold above $30 th. The price Bitcoin stabilized around $28,950, where it traded until the end of the week amid the absence of positive triggers. The key support level is the $28,250 mark. If the trend line from the low of $16,333 does not hold. The risks of falling to $25,250 will increase sharply. According to seasonal cycles, the bearish phase should last until September. BitRiver estimates that Bitcoin needs to break through the resistance at $30,500 for the situation to turn bullish.