Even experienced investors sometimes find it hard to know which of the many young crypto projects is worth investing in. Our experts explain what kind of returns startup coins can bring. What is IDO and where their liquidity collections take place.
Raising capital for companies from a wide range of investors is a critical mechanism for creting new businesses in today’s economy. Crypto assets market is no exception and has its own formats similar to IPO model.
Almost everyone who has encountered cryptocurrencies knows what an ICO is and what happened to this market in 2018. In fact, ICO market is dead after the 2018 bubble, subsequently SEC severely restricted them. Statistics say that about 90% of all ICO ended up failing.
But having gone through a crypto winter, crypto market did not get rid of the natural need for liquidity inflows to nascent projects, which is where the new era of IDO and launchpad started.
To participate in IDO of a project, you will need, as in case of IPO, to get an allocation to buy tokens at a low price before their release on exchange. This is where the main investor profit is hidden. Launchpad already has quite a few – more than 70 platforms. As of today, almost $1 billion has been raised through them. And the average increase in investment was X25. It looks very good for investors, but there are big risks hidden here as well.
Analysis of IDO profits on several major launchpads
We decided to check some of major launchpads (Polkastarter and DAO Maker). And analyze their data based on Cryptorank data. Despite popularity of these platforms, we can immediately notice that each of them individually does not raise hundreds of millions of dollars. On average by platform, each project raises about $261,000. The average profitability on 2 platforms was 5%. In fact, this is the yield since the listing of project. In this material, we provide figures as of early June. When bitcoin was trading above $30,000 and cryptocurrency market was not at bottom as it is today.
Our Crypto-Upvotes experts decided to take a detailed study of one of most popular launch pads – Polkastarter.
The largest number of projects that raised funds on Polkastarter belong to the DeFi category. A total of 38 DeFi projects were placed on the platform. Of these, only 21% did not fall below listing price at end of day. Also of note are the indicators related to token price at historical highs (ATH). Indeed, if you held any new token placed on Polkastarter DeFi for an average of 21 days. You could hope for yields as high as 4,900%. But given the “survival rate” of projects, that would be a veritable casino with no chance of a fundamental prediction.
Most optimal IDO segment on Polkastarter turned out to be the projects serving the blockchain infrastructure. They showed lower returns on almost all metrics. However, with a more limited sample of 11 projects, 27% of projects traded above listing price as of early June, which is the best result across all segments of this platform.
It’s been 4 years since ICO bubble burst, 2 of which turned out to be very “depressing” for the crypto industry. On average, on the 2 largest launchpads, 73% of all projects today are trading below listing price. Thus, participating in project offerings on launchpads for long-term investors seems like a bad idea. Launchpads can be seen as part of a risky portfolio and sell project tokens for a very short period of time after they go to exchange. You should also be extremely careful when buying new project tokens. Once a project has been launched, you have little time to make a decision to sell. You run risks ending up with a token belonging to the same 73% of projects that are now selling below launch price.