Our experts analyzed situation on the crypto market and told how the price of Bitcoin can change

The week of March 25-31 was relatively quiet. The following key factors influenced the crypto market. This is the dynamics of the U.S. dollar, stock indices and futures on them. As well as data on inflation in the U.S., measured by the PCE index, as well as the speech of the head of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell. News about the accusations against the KuCoin exchange caused concerns and led to a massive outflow of funds from the platform. But it did not have a strong impact on the market either and Bitcoin.

Last week’s analysis

On March 25, bitcoin showed a strong growth of 3.97% and closed at $69,880 per coin. This rise occurred after the bulls were able to overcome an important resistance level at $65,430 on Sunday. And that marked the break of the local downtrend.

On March 26, the BTC/USDT pair rose 0.15% to $69,988, hitting an intraday high of $71,561. Buyers took a pause, retreating to $69,280.

March 27 saw increased volatility. The BTC/USDT pair fell 0.74% to $69,469 after a failed attempt to break above $71,769. The price slipped 5% to $68,359, but did not go below this level.

On March 28, the BTC/USDT pair rose 1.89% to $70,780. The price touched $71,500 three times. But it failed to move higher because of the S&P 500 futures drawdown before the close of trading.

On March 29, trading on the BTC/USDT pair ended with a 1.31% decline to $69,850. Despite the buyers’ attempts to develop upward dynamics, they failed to hold the gained positions. During the U.S. session, the bitcoin rate fell to $69,000.

As on this day the exchanges of the USA and Europe were closed due to Easter holidays. The cryptocurrency market was deprived of the guidelines set by traditional markets. The pressure on prices could be exerted by the published data on inflation in the United States. As well as the speech of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell.

By the time the trading closed, the bitcoin price recovered to $69,850. And remaining within a four-day sideways trend with a range of $68,350 – $71,550 (the maximum of the week was $71,769).

U.S. inflation data and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell

According to the released figures, inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the price index of personal consumption expenditures (PCE). And rose to 2.5% year-on-year in February. The core PCE price index also showed an increase. These data were in line with expectations. However, they did appear to have put some pressure on the market. As traditional exchanges were down, it was mostly bitcoin that reacted.

Rising inflation and Jerome Powell’s words about the need to keep rates high could mean the following. That the Federal Reserve will be cautious about changing rates. Market conditions and new employment data will be key factors for future Fed decisions between April 1 and April 7.

Important events expected this week and possible BTC price changes

This week will be full of publication of important macroeconomic indicators. Therefore, we should expect increased volatility in all markets. On April 3, Jerome Powell will make another speech.

Currently, bitcoin is in a sideways with a range of about 5% or $3450. The technical picture remains on the side of buyers. The only potential negative factor could be the strengthening of the dollar after the long weekend.
Possible technical resistance levels could be $72,650 and $73,800. According to BitRiver estimates, on the sellers’ side, $65,800 and $60,800 levels are the targets.

Our experts note that issuers of nine new spot bitcoin-ETFs. Which were launched on January 11, currently own more than 500 thousand BTC worth $35.2 billion at the current exchange rate. The first place by number of coins in the vault is occupied by BlackRock with about 250 thousand BTC. And in second place is Fidelity with about 150k BTC, and the top three is rounded out by Bitwise with 50k BTC. Before the upcoming halving, the demand for bitcoin remains high. And therefore, the support from institutional investors will remain for a long time.

Investors are not in a hurry to part with their BTC at current prices, our experts explain the reasons why

The average value of transactions on the BTC blockchain has decreased significantly from its 2021 peak. And recorded during the bull market. About it writes CoinDesk citing reports from experts.

“There are very few funds moving within the blockchain. And that is a sign of low liquidity and unwillingness of investors to sell their cryptocurrencies.” This is also what Blockware Solutions analysts wrote in a newsletter “No one wants to sell,” the experts added.

According to data from analytics company Glassnode, the average bitcoin transfer volume over the past two weeks was less than $200,000. In 2021, during the cryptocurrency market bull market, this figure often exceeded $1 million.

Experts attribute the decline in transaction volume to the concentration of spot market trading in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In addition, other market indicators indicate that the share of bitcoins. Which have not moved online in three to five years, continues to grow. And long-term holders are in no hurry to sell their assets, expecting further growth in the BTC rate.

Prospects for BTC price growth

Our experts note that Blockware analysts predict. That in the coming months the price of bitcoin can grow to six-digit values. And the historical maximum may exceed $150 thousand.

Strong price growth will catalyze a sharp increase in transaction volume. Investors will start taking previously purchased coins to exchanges for sale, increasing the liquidity of supply – according to Blockware analysts.

The low volume of network transactions at the moment indicates that the market lacks sellers. Who are ready to part with cryptocurrency at the current price.

Kaiko analysts note that the rate at which wallets with balances over $1 million are appearing is still below the previous Bitcoin bull market cycle

As the bitcoin exchange rate rises, an average of about 1,500 new “millionaire wallets” appear every day. And that hold $1 million or more worth of cryptocurrency. However, this figure is still lower than during the 2021 bull market, data provided by analytics platform Kaiko.

Transaction data on cryptocurrency wallets Bitcoin is public. But it is not possible to establish their belonging to a specific owner. Kaiko tools do not take into account the addresses of exchanges and other major crypto services.

The highest number of new wallets containing more than $1 million in bitcoins. And since the beginning of the year – 1,691 – was recorded on March 1. In 2020-2021, more than 4,000 wallets with a balance of about $1 million and more than 2,000 wallets with more than $10 million appeared every day.

In 2021, the crypto market was swept by a wave of retail investors eager to capitalize on the wave of excitement. However, in 2023, large investors behaved more cautiously. And sold their assets as bitcoin hit new highs, Kaiko writes.

Our experts note that the slower pace may also be due to the fact that the inflow of new capital has not yet gained momentum. And investors are storing their assets with trustees rather than in their personal wallets.

The U.S. SEC has issued a favorable ruling on the launch of Bitcoin ETF from BlackRock and other companies. These exchange-traded funds are expected to open access to cryptocurrency to a wide range of investors and attract new capital

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved the launch of 11 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investing directly in Bitcoin. And will open up access to the largest cryptocurrency in the traditional US financial market and beyond.

The SEC has authorized funds from all applicant companies, including BlacrRock and Fidelity Investments. And to begin trading shares on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) starting Jan. 11.

Why a spot bitcoin ETF is important

Various exchange traded funds (ETFs). And including gold, have trillions of dollars in assets under management. In the cryptocurrency community, it is widely believed that even a small percentage of this capital can potentially impact the global crypto market. After the approval of spot Bitcoin ETF, the demand for cryptocurrency should increase: buying shares of the funds implies the delivery of bitcoin as an underlying asset, that is, its direct purchase in the market, affecting the rate.

The decision came a day after SEC  X account (formerly Twitter) posted a false message that the agency had approved the ETF. Minutes after the publication appeared, the regulator said the account had been hacked. This led to sharp fluctuations in the bitcoin exchange rate. Which reacted with sharp jumps to each of the statements.

Regulator has been withholding approval to launch ETFs for more than a decade

Our experts note that back in 2013, twin brothers Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, now owners of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange, decided to create the first such fund. In June 2023, the world’s largest management company BlackRock applied for registration of a bitcoin-ETF.

The ruling in favor of bitcoin funds came after Grayscale Investments scored a key victory over the SEC in court. A federal appeals court overturned the SEC’s denial of Grayscale’s application to convert its existing bitcoin trust into a full-fledged ETF. The court called the denial “arbitrary and capricious” because SEC officials were unable to make a compelling argument for banning spot funds. Back in 2021, the SEC approved several ETFs. Which allow investors to speculate on bitcoin futures. But the shares of such ETFs have no direct impact on the bitcoin market.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler emphasized this in a public statement. According to him, it was the Grayscale case that was the tipping point for the regulator to change its rhetoric. Nevertheless, the agency still “does not endorse or support bitcoin itself.” Investors, it said, should be wary of the “numerous risks associated with bitcoin and products whose value is tied to the cryptocurrency.”

The BlackRock proposal now includes a mechanism for redeeming units for fiat money. This is a redemption model that the SEC considers safer for investors compared to redemption in BTC

BlackRock has updated its application for a spot bitcoin-ETF to increase the chances of its approval by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The management company’s proposal now calls for a fiat money redemption mechanism for the fund’s units. This is the model favored by the U.S. regulator.

The world’s largest asset management company has become the latest of several firms. Which updated statements amid rumors that the SEC may approve a number of bitcoin-ETF applications as early as January. ARK Investments also previously made similar changes to its application for the ARK 21SHARES Bitcoin ETF.

BlackRock applied to launch the iShares Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund in June this year. And at the same time offering a redemption model in kind (in bitcoins). However, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, analyzed the proposal. And raised concerns about investor safety and market manipulation.

ETFs typically have one of two types of redemption and issuance mechanisms: in-kind or cash. In-kind redemption structure. And which many companies believe is more attractive to investors, allows companies to redeem units for bitcoins. The SEC considers it safer and more affordable to redeem for fiat money.

In this case, if an investor wants to redeem the fund’s units, BlackRock would have to withdraw the bitcoins from the vault. And sell them and pay the investor the required amount in fiat money.

“The trust issues and redeems blocks of 40,000 units on an ongoing basis. These transactions will be done in exchange for cash. Subject to regulatory approval, these transactions will also be able to be conducted in exchange for bitcoins,” BlackRock said in its new filing.

The company also provided a ticker symbol for the fund to be created in the documents. The spot bitcoin-ETF is expected to trade on NASDAQ under the name IBIT.

Valkyrie, Fidelity Investments, ARK Investments, Grayscale, WisdomTree and Invesco are also awaiting approval from the SEC.

Bitcoin-ETF issuers have already advanced to key details in their negotiations with the SEC. Our experts note that the deadline for the regulator to decide whether to approve, reject or postpone a decision on bitcoin-ETF applications is set for mid-January.

Our experts analyzed the state of the market and talked about how bitcoin will behave in December 2023

In November, bitcoin rose by 11% against the dollar. The main driver of the upward dynamics was positive expectations of the soon approval of the spot bitcoin-ETF by the US financial regulator. Additional support for the crypto market was provided by the weakening of the dollar. And the growth of stock indices in the U.S. in anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve rate at the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on December 13.

In the market remains positive mood of market participants. The technical picture on the daily timeframe is also favorable for the continuation of the upward movement of the pair BTC/USD in the medium term before halving.

Halving is a planned reduction in the number of newly issued bitcoins (BTC). Which are created and distributed to miners who perform verification and validation of transactions on the network. This is embedded in the bitcoin program code to ensure that the total number of coins on the network never exceeds 21 million units. The next bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024.

Important events that the markets will focus on include U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth data for the last quarter and personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price information for the third quarter. The market is actively watching inflation as it is linked to expectations of further decisions by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

We expect bullish dynamics

The digital asset market has historically tended to rise in December. Given fundamental factors. Such as the prospect of spot  bitcoin ETF approvals in early 2024. And the approaching halving, the growing number of institutional investors and the sustainability of market capitalization. Our experts expect bullish momentum in December. As they did throughout the fourth quarter before that.

Our expectations for November were to reach the level of $38 thousand, and bitcoin succeeded to grow to this level at the end of the month. Because of this, the $40-45k zone expected since the beginning of the year remains the target zone for December. And our experts expect BTC to grow to these levels, as well as to increase the capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market to $1.6-1.8 trillion.

Now the main resistance level for bitcoin is around $40 thousand. It can be expected that the cryptocurrency will overcome this psychological mark by mid-December. The optimistic scenario assumes bitcoin growth to $45 thousand by the end of the year and continued growth at a quiet pace to $55 thousand until halving in the bitcoin network in the spring of 2024.

Our weekly feature. Our experts have analyzed the situation on the market. And told how it may change in the coming week for Bitcoin

Bitcoin trades on November 13 opened with a decline. They were held calmly. During the American session, the price fell to $36,534.

On November 14, the correction continued and intensified after the publication of data on inflation in the United States. And which slowed to a 7-month low. Bitcoin fell in price along with the dollar as sellers reached protective stops on long positions and took out weak players who entered the market around $37k.

Despite the mounting pressure, buyers held their defenses. On November 15, the bitcoin rate recovered to $37,858. The sessional rally was aided by optimistic expectations about the approval of a spot bitcoin ETF.

On November 16, the price corrected by 4.48% to $36,163 amid profit taking on long positions after the rally. The upward momentum faded as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) again delayed a decision on two applications for cryptocurrency-related exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The first application was submitted by Brazilian digital asset management company Hashdex. It proposed that the SEC convert its bitcoin futures-based exchange-traded fund, the Hashdex Bitcoin Futures ETF, into a spot bitcoin ETF. The SEC did not have time to review it within 45 days. Therefore, the decision on it was extended until January 1, 2024.

The second application was filed by the American company Grayscale – the largest digital asset manager in the world.

Grayscale expressed its desire to launch an ETF based on Ethereum futures – Grayscale Ethereum Futures Trust.The SEC also failed to review it within 45 days. And so the deadline was extended to January 15, 2024.

On November 17, bitcoin rose 1.25% to $36,613 at the end of the day.The price spent the day in the price range of $35,861 to $36,800 after falling to $35,500 on Thursday. Buyers are trying to keep the price above $35,500.And to then continue the upward movement pending ETF approval.

On cycles, the corrective phase ends on November 21. By timestamps, I have no change.With the bullish momentum fading, bearish sentiment is building. Buyers need to hold the $35k level to continue the rally before halving.

Key events of the past week:

• US inflation slowed to a 7-month low of 3.2% year-on-year in October, but had no impact on the crypto market.
• Bitcoin price approached $38k for the first time in a year and a half. This happened amid optimism around the possible approval of a spot bitcoin ETF.
• The bitcoin rate fell to $35,500 due to profit taking by investors after the price soared.
• Another delay by the SEC in deciding on applications to launch ETFs for bitcoin and Ethereum. This limited further growth.
• Bitcoin ended the week slightly lower, with buyers maintaining control of the market.

Last week, bitcoin traded in a range of $34,800 to $37,980.

What’s in store for us this week:

According to the cycles, the corrective phase ends on November 21. According to the time stamps, nothing has changed for me. As the bullish momentum fades, bearish sentiment is building up. Buyers need to hold the $35k level for the price to continue rising before halving.

Although a new growth phase starts on November 21, we expect a breakthrough to $42 th. from buyers on December 8. They should form a sideways trend above $35 th. And that will allow sellers to build up short positions, on which then buyers will “ride” up to $39 th.

On November 22, minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting will be released. Investors will be watching them to understand the details of the FOMC members’ discussion at the last meeting. Decrease in the dollar index after the publication of the minutes may become a trigger for growth of quotations.

In the U.S. this week will celebrate the national holiday – Thanksgiving Day, which will reduce the number of working days. Accordingly, liquidity on the global currency market may be low. And volatility may be high. Most often, when the U.S. has a day off. Then the markets are traded in narrow ranges. Therefore, the price dynamics in the crypto market will be determined by the news around ETFs.

Bitcoin bulls still control the market. There are no signals to sell. Our experts are waiting for the publication of the Fed minutes and renewed activity of buyers.

Our monthly feature. Our experts analyzed the state of the market and told about what will happen to bitcoin in the coming month

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $34.4k on Tuesday, October 31. And its price has increased by about 28% over the past month. In the first days of October, the rate of the first cryptocurrency was at $27 thousand. And on October 16, the price briefly reached $30 thousand. And in the morning of October 24, bitcoin sharply added 18% in price, reaching $35 thousand for the first time this year.

We are unlikely to see an altcoin season this year

Our experts count November and December as months. Within the framework of which the cryptocurrency market capitalization can grow to at least $1.6 trillion. And ideally – to $1.8 trillion. Historically, the fourth quarter is successful for the cryptocurrency market, and so far October confirms this pattern.

The lack of fresh liquidity given the tight monetary policy (MPC) is certainly affecting the market. But however, demand for current crypto-oriented ETFs, even before spot bitcoin ETFs are approved, could be the reason for capitalization gains. And growth in the most capitalized assets. Expect BTC prices to rise to the $38k level in November, followed by a move into the $40k-$45k zone by the end of this year.

We are unlikely to see an “altcoin season” this year. And we expect market capitalization growth in November-December primarily due to assets from the top-10. The current macroeconomic situation is not suitable for risk-on strategies. And what we can see from the falling US stock market and the rise in gold. As a consequence, mid-cap crypto assets dependent on venture capital, aggressive investments are still experiencing a significant lack of funds. And they are unlikely to show a multiple price growth in the next month or two, our experts believe.

There should be strong new stimulus in the market this year

Now the situation on the cryptocurrency market is influenced by several factors. This is, first of all, investors’ expectations of approval for the launch of bitcoin ETFs. First, that the current spiral of bitcoin growth was triggered by rumors that the U.S. regulator approved a bitcoin ETF from BlackRock. And while the rumors were quickly denied. But the growth continued – reflecting the general positive mood of crypto investors about the prospects of such an approval. Everyone agrees that it will happen soon.

Secondly, bitcoin is affected by the tense geopolitical environment. And which has also triggered a rise in gold prices. Bitcoin is traditionally seen as “digital gold”. And so partly the capital was directed to diversify investment portfolios and in BTC . In addition, market participants expect bitcoin to rise in the run-up to the halving, which will take place in the spring of 2024.

However, there are also a number of negative factors that are restraining market growth. First of all, it is the expectation of stricter regulation of cryptocurrency exchanges and stablecoin issuers in the United States – one of the largest markets for cryptocurrencies. Therefore, we can expect moderate bitcoin growth in November. But a powerful growth spiral or bull cycle should not be expected yet. For this to happen, new powerful incentives must appear, which will be the catalyst for a new rally. Such a stimulus could be the approval of the launch of ETFs. Or either some signal regarding inflation risks in the U.S. from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). For example, a new stock market stimulus package.

Bitcoin price has overcome a number of key resistances what we expect in November

Since Bitcoin belongs to the class of risky assets. And the crypto market is influenced by the dynamics of the dollar and U.S. macro statistics. Among the key events for November, we can highlight the meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the speech of its chairman Jerome Powell at a press conference on November 1. On November 3, data on the labor market in the U.S. will be of interest. On November 14, the inflation report will be released. Data on consumer prices are extremely important. And as investors are interested in the regulator’s future actions on rates in December due to high inflation.

The recent rally of the BTC/USD pair to $35k was triggered by expectations of bitcoin-ETF approval. And it was supported by inflows into crypto funds and increased open interest in bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The court also ordered the SEC to review Grayscale’s application for a spot bitcoin-ETF. Therefore, any published news or rumors (confirmed and unconfirmed) on the ETF will have a strong impact on the market.

During the last rally, the bitcoin price overcame a number of key resistances, testing the $35k level. After updating the high, the price has been in a sideways trend for six days. According to experts’ calculations, the downward correction is expected from November 9 to November 21.
Until November 9, buyers have time to move to the area of $36 th. If the price closes below $32.7 th before November 9, it may herald the beginning of correction. The target level for correction is $31.7 th.

Investors should be alerted by the lack of price growth after the Fed meeting on November 1 and Powell’s speech. And again, the less the price falls during the correction. The stronger will be the growth after November 21.

Our experts tell us what we need to know about Bitcoin halving. As well as when to expect it, and what impact it may have on crypto market

The fourth Bitcoin halving is about a year away. This event occurs every four years and historically serves as a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin’s price rise and popularity.

Halving is a planned reduction in the number of newly issued BTCs. Which are created and distributed to miners who perform transaction verification and validation on the network. This is embedded in Bitcoin’s software code to ensure that the total number of coins in the network never exceeds 21 million units.

Halving first took place in November 2012, when the reward per block was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. The second reduction occurred in July 2016, when the reward dropped from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC. The third and final halving occurred in May 2020, when the reward dropped from 12.5 to 6.25 BTC.

The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024. The reward per block will be reduced to 3.125 BTC, reducing Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate from 1.7% to 0.8%. The final halving will occur in 2140, when the last Bitcoin will be mined. And the total supply of coins will reach 21 million.

Bitcoin’s monetary policy is unique compared to most other crypto-assets, which tend to have inflation. Dogecoin (DOGE) has 2-3% inflation. And Solana (SOL) has long-term inflation of 1.5%. Ethereum has had a negative inflation rate since the blockchain switched to the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithm. As the volume of transaction fees burned on the network exceeded the volume of newly issued ETH coins. Halving occurs not only in Bitcoin, but also in other Proof-of-Work (PoW) cryptocurrencies, such as Litecoin (LTC) or Zcash (ZEC).

Profits of miners

Now the main part of the miners’ profits comes from the distribution of rewards for a found block of bitcoin (newly mined bitcoin). And at which 6.25 BTC is paid out to miners about every 10 minutes. The annual issuance of new Bitcoins creates about $9.8 billion, creating additional selling pressure. Which the market is forced to absorb every year.

Despite the fact that the number of new Bitcoins mined per block is halved. The cumulative income of miners after each halving increased. This is due to the rise in the price of BTC. But when the number of new Bitcoins mined in each block approaches zero.Then miners will no longer be able to rely on rising prices to cover costs.

In addition to newly issued Bitcoins, miners also receive income in the form of transaction fees. It can be assumed that the commissions for this should increase. At the same time compensating miners for the decreasing income from the issuance of new Bitcoins. Right now transaction fees are only 2.6% of miners’ income as a percentage of the total reward per block found.

This year has seen an upward trend in transaction fees. This is largely due to the emergence and popularization of so-called ordinals or BRC20-tokens. These are analogous to NFT in the Bitcoin blockchain, which require space in a block. New experiments with second-tier technologies such as the Lightning payment network or the Stacks smart contract platform. So too could further increase the strain on the blockchain.

If transaction fees don’t rise appreciably. Or miners fail to find alternative sources of income. Then Bitcoin’s long-term viability could be in question. And subsequent halving will put additional pressure on miners.

How Halving will affect the price

If you estimate the price dynamics in three Bitcoin halving cycles over a two-year period. And beginning one year before each halving and ending one year after it, one can get an idea of Bitcoin’s price trajectory as the fourth halving approaches. Over such a two-year period in 2012, Bitcoin gained about 30,000%. And in 2016, 786%, and in 2020, 712%. If Bitcoin performs as well as in the last two periods, its price could reach the $220,000 mark in 2025.

However, past performance is no guarantee of future results. And there are many other factors influencing Bitcoin’s price. Moreover, as Bitcoin develops and becomes more widespread over time, its price may become less volatile and more stable.

Another expectation of halving is less pressure on the price due to sales, especially from miners. Miners are the most predictable sellers of Bitcoin. That’s because they need to cover the cost of maintaining operations by converting new Bitcoins into fiat money. With each halving, the structural pressure to sell decreases. And assuming demand stays the same or goes up, the resulting price should also go up.

Our experts told about the prerequisites for Bitcoin price growth. And assessed the prospects for further price movement of the first cryptocurrency

On April 11 Bitcoin rate exceeded $30.3 thousand for the first time since June 1, 2022. Within a day, the first cryptocurrency rose in price by $2 thousand. And its value increased by 7%.

Leading altcoins also rose in price, though not as much as the first cryptocurrency. Ethereum (ETH) price went up by 3.5%, to $1.91, BNB (BNB) – by 4.6%, to $327, Polygon (MATIC) – by 3.2%, to $1.13. Cardano (ADA) gained 4.7% to $0.4 and Ripple (XRP) rose 2.7% to $0.51.

The first goal for Bictoin is to fix it at $30,000

Bitcoin for the first time in 10 months broke through the key level of $30 thousand. The main trigger for the price increase was the investors’ confidence in the near completion of the US Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy phase. In fact, the strengthening of BTC could happen a few days earlier. But most investors were absent in trading because of Good Friday and Easter in Catholic world.

On Monday traders returned to work and reacted to Friday’s set of statistics about employment market in the USA. And quite naturally – with a rise in prices. NFP employment data showed that employers feel confident and leave hiring rates high.

BTC has gained 6.74% since the beginning of April versus a 23% appreciation in March. The important thing now is to get a foothold above $30k. And the next ambitious goal is $35k, but it will take time to reach it.

Bitcoin price prospects

Bitcoin moved to the growth after a long period of consolidation between $27 thousand and $28.5 thousand. BTC accumulated momentum and was able to overcome the resistance level around $28.5 thousand. And then on a wave of “bullish” sentiment took a new top – the long-awaited mark of $30 th.

It is hard to say whether there will be correction, because the market is waiting for the publication of data on consumer price growth in the USA (CPI). Which will be unveiled on April 12. This index always influences the situation on the cryptocurrency market. Here we should understand that it can both push up. And it can also push down and stop the growth of Bitcoin. And the continuation of high inflation can have both effects. That is, if inflation is still quite high and fails to meet expectations for a decline. BTC rate may react with both decrease and growth in the short term.

In the long term high inflation will most likely help Bitcoin to grow. Because BTC is seen by some investors as an instrument to hedge against inflation risks. The collapse of the banking system, which is not expected to fully manifest itself yet, also contributes to the growth of bitcoin. Part of the deposits that have been withdrawn from U.S. bank accounts. It eventually settles on the crypto market, as retail investors in a panic are looking for tools to preserve value. And they’re also afraid of a repeat of the 2008-2009 crisis.

Our experts answering a possible question whether investors will have an opportunity to buy Bitcoin “cheaply” for $15 thousand. Our experts remind that between $15k and $25k Bitcoin was trading for 275 days. That means investors had almost a year to decide to buy this asset. If they didn’t do that, now they’ll have to buy bitcoin at $30k. In short and medium term the price of BTC will hardly go lower than $20k.

Expect inflation data

Bitcoin for quite a long time was in the “sideways position”, accumulating strength for a breakthrough to the level of $30 thousand. This happens today the coin has overcome this mark.

Now the US inflation data is expected to be released in March. A slowdown in price growth will be positive for the stock market. And BTC usually follows it. A decline in inflation gives the odds that the Fed will move to easing monetary policy. And this will also push indices and cryptocurrencies up.

Also amid forecasts of a global recession, more and more investors are moving into crypto as a way to protect funds. This explains the influx of capital into the crypto market. Now everything depends on inflation data. Because its decline will give a chance for Bitcoin to rise to $32,000-34,000. And the increase in prices will be negative – then we can expect a fall to $27-28 thousand. By the end of the week, these trends will manifest themselves in full force.