BlackRock has applied for an ETF for Ethereum. What this means for the price of ETH

Ethereum is lagging behind bitcoin in terms of growth. And the approval of an exchange-traded fund is influenced by additional factors. We break down how much traditional investors are interested in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, filed an application on November 9 to register an exchange traded fund (ETF) to invest in the Ethereum network cryptocurrency (ETH). With the ability to directly track its underlying spot price. The price of ETH rose sharply when the news broke. And jumped almost 10% from $1,880 before consolidating above the $2k level.

This is not the first attempt to launch a spot ETF for Ethereum in the United States. For example, in September, Ark Invest and 21Shares filed a joint application for such a fund with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). And later, Grayscale announced that it had applied to convert its own investment trust for Ethereum into a full-fledged ETF. Today, its trust is the world’s largest Ethereum investment product. And with almost $5 billion under management. But it was BlackRock’s application that triggered a jump in the ETH exchange rate. And which until then had been lagging behind bitcoin in terms of growth dynamics. And even more so from tokens Solana, Chainlink and other leading cryptocurrencies.

The immediate rise in the price of ETH is similar to bitcoin’s June rally. When BlackRock similarly applied to register a spot bitcoin ETF. Such ETFs offer investors a convenient way to invest in cryptocurrencies without having to buy directly from traditional cryptocurrency exchanges and sort out their own wallets. Buying shares of exchange-traded funds is a more familiar form for clients of management companies. And pension funds in the US, particularly those who are deterred by the technical complexities and security issues associated with buying a real asset.

ETH has other prospects for ETF approval

Even if approved by regulators, the actual launch of BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF could take up to several months at best. And with that, there is no guarantee that it will be approved in principle. The SEC has up to 240 days from the date of filing to decide whether to approve the product. And that could push the fund’s possible launch date to next fall. There’s also a key difference in the regulatory status of bitcoin and Ethereum in the U.S., and that could also cause additional delays.

If nearly all stakeholders, including the SEC itself, agree that bitcoin is not a security and does not fall under its jurisdiction. Ethereum’s prospects are less certain. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has repeatedly dodged the question of interpreting ETH’s status as an asset.

This is not the only factor influencing the launch of an ETF for Ethereum. But the debate over its status could also possibly slow down BlackRock’s application. The SEC will probably want to observe how a spot ETF for bitcoin performs first. Before approving products for other cryptoassets.

Investor optimism is growing

Ethereum occupies a unique place in the world of cryptocurrencies because it acts as a means of accumulating value (like bitcoin). But at the same time, it historically has a higher potential for price growth. This hybrid model has found confirmation in recent years. When ETH was ahead of bitcoin in terms of growth dynamics. But lagged behind tokens such as SOL from Solana or BNB from Binance.

However, in 2023, the scenario has partly changed: the enthusiasm of traditional investors for the possible emergence of a spot bitcoin ETF. And probably made the first cryptocurrency more attractive to them. Ethereum has lagged far behind bitcoin in terms of price momentum. And the basic fundamentals of the network have not changed much over the year. Despite the fact that ETH is starting to grow following bitcoin. But its average monthly volatility is at its lowest level in the last five years.

At the same time, analysts give optimistic forecasts. Marcus Thielen, head of cryptocurrency market research and strategy at Matrixport, called the emergence of BlackRock’s ETF bid “a nuclear winter for anyone who doubted Ethereum.” Large investors, he believes, are already aiming to allocate to cryptocurrency funds.

Thielen noted that despite lagging behind bitcoin, market sentiment indicators show growing interest in ETH. And trades in crypto assets with higher beta coefficients can generate more profits.

The market happening is accompanied by an increase in the trading volume of “ETH”. And the growth of the funding rate in perpetual futures of both bitcoin. As well as ETH, which reflects the growing optimism among traders, our experts note.

 

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What is ZK technology and how it helps Ethereum

Our experts tell us how a complex cryptographic concept found application in the cryptosphere. And why startups that use ZK technology attract millions of dollars from investors

As early as 2019, cryptocurrency-oriented venture capitalists have been supporting startups. Which are engaged in the development of technical solutions somehow related to zero-knowledge proofs technology (zero-knowledge proofs or ZK-proofs, ZK). It is largely thanks to the cryptosphere that the complex cryptographic concept has become a successful marketing tool for startups. Who are creating tools to optimize Ethereum and other networks.

Matter Labs has raised nearly $0.5 billion from foundations to develop its zkSync solution. And the launch of Polygon’s zkEVM software environment by Polygon Labs, with similar funding, was an event in the cryptocurrency community. Projects like Starknet or Scroll are worth billions of dollars. And they all use ZK-proofs technology in one way or another.

In 1985, scientists Shafi Goldwasser, Silvio Micali and Charles Rakoff published a paper called “Knowledge Complexity of Interactive Proof-Systems. This was the first theoretical formulation of zero-disclosure proof technology.

To greatly simplify, this cryptographic technique allows you to prove that you know something without revealing exactly what you know. In the context of cryptocurrency, this can be illustrated, for example, as verifying that the user has the funds to transfer. And without revealing to the other participants of the network who this user is and how much money he has in his wallet.

Such proofs are technically complex and computationally intensive

Since it is very complicated, this technology did not come to any practical realization for quite a long time. And it was discussed mainly in scientific circles. But starting in 2010, researchers realized that ZK-proofs can be implemented on current computers.

So too with the emergence of faster computers and more funding for research in cryptography. And researchers, including Georgetown University associate professor Justin Thaler, have described how to generate zero-disclosure proofs on real computing machines. Thaler is also a researcher at a16z crypto, a division of the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. He also manages four funds to invest in blockchain projects totaling more than $7 billion.

The launch and distribution of cloud computing has also given further impetus to the adoption of the technology. Laptops or smartphones, for example, are slower than the combined power of Amazon’s servers. But with ZK-proofs, a single computer can confirm that multiple computers have executed the program correctly.

When Bitcoin emerged in 2009, there was early discussion about reducing the computational burden on the blockchain and privacy in the blockchain. And then two problems emerged – the relatively slow performance of the blockchain because of its decentralized structure. And also its transparency, allowing analysts to identify and track wallets with ties to real users.

In 2013, a group of scientists, based on improvements in the implementation of ZK-proofs technology, laid out proposals for a Zerocoin solution. And which was supposed to help make Bitcoin transactions completely anonymous. Teaming up with Zuko Wilcox, they eventually launched the cryptocurrency Zcash (ZEC). It was probably the first implementation of ZK-proofs technology on a large scale.

Essence of ZK technology for cryptocurrencies

The essence of technology in the context of cryptocurrencies is not just about privacy. When Ethereum grew in popularity with the spread of blockchain technology. And more and more developers were creating more complex applications to run on it. But they, in turn, needed ways to increase the speed of applications. Ethereum, to simplify things a bit, is essentially a decentralized computer that runs relatively slowly.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has repeatedly said that it is solutions using ZK-proofs. And in particular the so-called ZK-rollups will help to increase the bandwidth of the network. And in the future will be integrated into its software code.

Zero-disclosure proofs allow one to prove the truth of something without checking each statement. Using this property, solutions such as zkSync “minimize”. That is, they compile and process transactions outside of the main Ethereum blockchain and prove that they did so accurately. Already then the main blockchain only verifies this proof. And that takes significantly less time compared to verifying each transaction in the usual way.

Dozens of startups are developing a flood of solutions using ZK, including the same zkSync, Aztec, Scroll, Starknet and others. They compete with another group of Ethereum scaling solutions collectively called Optimistic rollups. And the best known of which are the Optimism and Arbitrum projects. The companies have formed an entire industry within the crypto market and have collectively attracted several billion dollars from investors.

Accelerate Ethereum

On June 8, the Taiko project announced that it had raised $22 million to develop its own zkEVM. It is a solution that Vitalik Buterin called essential for scaling the Ethereum blockchain.

The zkEVM (Zero-Knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine) is a development that combines Ethereum capabilities with the concept of zero-knowledge proofs. It was the company behind the zkSync solution that Matter Labs first deployed its version of zkEVM to the public along with the launch of the zkSync Era network.

The zkEVM solution is primarily a tool for scaling Ethereum. But which also includes privacy enhancing features. It combines the benefits of ZK-proof technology and compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) application environment. While providing faster, cheaper and simultaneously more private transactions.

Simply said, zkEVM allows developers to create second-tier solutions such as ZK rollups. This helps reduce congestion and bandwidth constraints on the core Ethereum network. And that leads to faster and cheaper transfers. The approach of projects like zkSync allows fast and inexpensive transactions in Ethereum. While maintaining data security and privacy.

Our experts point out that the slow operation of the network and high commissions hinder the mass spread of blockchain technology. Therefore, it makes sense for investors to support startups that offer efficient solutions.

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How SEC policy will affect Ethereum

The U.S. regulator named securities as the closest competitors of Ethereum. Our experts told us what risks this brings for ETH

From June 5 through June 6, cryptocurrency rates reacted to the SEC’s lawsuit against two major exchanges with a dramatic drop. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fell in price, but by the morning of June 7, they partially recovered their losses. Ethereum was no exception and on June 6 updated its low from May 25 at $1802.

In lawsuits against two major exchanges, the SEC named several cryptocurrencies as securities. These assets reacted with fall of rates more strongly than others and fell in price by 6-15%.

In the first lawsuit were called securities: Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Polygon (MATIC), Filecoin (FIL). As well as Cosmos (ATOM), Sandbox (SAND), Decentraland (MANA). And Algorand (ALGO), Axie Infinity (AXS), COTI (COTI).

In the second lawsuit, Chiliz (CHZ), Flow (FLOW), Internet Computer (ICP) joined them. As well as NEAR Protocol (NEAR), Voyager VGX (VGX), Dash (DASH) and NEXO (NEXO).

Despite the fact that the commission named Ethereum competitor coins (e.g., Solana), the largest ETH itself avoided a similar fate. None of the lawsuits mentioned it as a security.

Why the SEC chose the cryptocurrencies it named in the lawsuits

The SEC sampling algorithm is completely incomprehensible. And it defies logic, our experts note. Either the initiators of this process have outdated data. Even from the time of PoW mechanism in Ethereum network (till September 2022). Or it’s a “show punishment” for trading “tokens nobody needs,” says our expert.

SEC head Gary Gensler told CNBC that cryptocurrencies are essentially unnecessary at all. “We already have a digital currency. It’s called the U.S. dollar, the euro or the yen,” Gensler said.

The very arguments of the U.S. regulator regarding the recognition of PoS and DPoS (validators, not miners) projects as securities are “ridiculous.” But in the moment, these accusations can “create panic among investors” and provoke a local price collapse.

Long-term prospects for Ethereum are positive

If we consider the long-term prospects of Ethereum. It has much more growth potential than even Bitcoin. Because BTC’s growth comes from its status as the first cryptocurrency. As well as popularity and scarcity, which led to the leading position in infrastructure development.

For ETH the main growth driver is the area of decentralized finance (DeFi), says our expert. DeFi is still in its infancy. And in the future it will be able to push the price of ETH, which provides the infrastructure for DeFi projects.

Short-term ETH prospects

For short planning horizons on Ethereum, things are very complicated. Our experts note that on the one hand, Ethereum benefited from the fact that it was “forgotten to be mentioned” in the lawsuits.

But on the other hand, if ETH will be “remembered” later. It could repeat the fate of those coins that are already on the SEC list. As some investors exit from these coins, the assets are rejected by the platforms. Therefore, the risks remain, our Crypto Upvotes expert warned.

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How will staking sphere change after Ethereum update

Our experts talked about trends in the staking cryptocurrency niche after the Shapella update and its impact on cryptoasset prices

The price of Ethereum cryptocurrency (ETH) crossed the $2,000 mark for the first time since August 2022. After a major blockchain update of the second largest cryptocurrency took place. And fears of a massive outflow of funds from the network were not confirmed. Since the beginning of the year, the coin has grown by more than 60%.

The fears of many market participants were not justified

The April 13 update to the Ethereum blockchain, working title Shanghai. Which was made as part of the Shapella update group gave investors the opportunity to withdraw coins on a first-come, first-served basis. Which they placed as collateral in a special Beacon Chain smart contract, launched back in 2020. This gives them the status of a transaction validator on the network and allows them to be rewarded by issuing new coins, a process called staking.

Accumulated rewards also became available for withdrawal to the wallets. According to the analytical service Nansen, in the first 12 hours after the activation of the update, investors withdrew only 0.3% of the 18 million ETH. Which were placed in the contract for staking.

Contrary to the fears of many market participants, the rate of ETH tested $2,000. It’s safe to say that traders and investors took the update positively. The possibility of withdrawal of coins [from staking] is limited. As it can put pressure on the price.

Only 43.2 thousand ETH can be unlocked in a day. About 170 ths ETH will be sold at market price in the near future. But even if coins will be withdrawn at the maximum allowed limit per day. That figure would fit into the average ETH inflow to the exchanges and would not critically affect the price of the coin. It’s important to understand that many validators are just now starting to test the new feature. And they are withdrawing exactly the earned funds and not the deposit of 32 ETH. Accordingly, they plan to validate transactions further, our experts explain.

What will happen to the price of ETH in the next week

According to Coin Metrics analyst company, about 1.2 million ETH are expected to be withdrawn from staking in the next five days. Which is equivalent to about $2.3 billion at current prices. About $36.7 billion in Ethereum coins remain in the Beacon Chain.

The price of ETH could experience fluctuations in the coming weeks. As some investors will rush to withdraw coins and sell them. But those who were not ready to freeze their assets before. Then now on the contrary, may decide to place coins in a smart contract. Most likely, the upgrade of the network in the medium to long term will lead to the growth of ETH exchange rate. But before that, a period of increased volatility is possible, our experts say.

Staking as a service

Self-staking Ethereum involves setting up equipment. And mandatory minimum deposit of 32 ETH. But even more private investors use stacking services on cryptocurrency exchanges. And decentralized platforms that provide the service of so-called liquid staking.

In this case, exchanges or services act as a validator. Which pools users’ funds into a single pool with a user-friendly interface. And also with the reward for staking in proportion to their investment. The largest staking platform Lido. At the same time, being a validator, manages about 31% of all ETH in staking. Binance, Coinbase and Kraken crypto exchanges are also in the top five largest validators.

Staking from crypto exchanges

The main advantage of staking services from exchanges is simplicity. The user does not need to understand the intricacies. The user only has to press a couple of buttons and be assured that staking works. Interest payments are made by the exchanger. And it also takes the rights and responsibilities. If there are any difficulties, you can write to the support service and get an answer in a short time. This is always suitable for beginners. That is why the popularity of staking through exchanges or platforms will not suffer much from Ethereum updates.

The possibility of unlocking coins is unlikely to have much effect on the popularity of staking services. Their target audience is not so much those investors who were not ready to freeze their assets. But those who simply don’t have 32 ETH to place in a smart contract. The demand for the service, even if it falls, is insignificant, our experts say.

Kraken leads in the number of applications to withdraw coins from staking. The U.S. exchange accounts for more than 86% of the total amount of ETH. Which are now “in line” for withdrawal. The exchange was forced to stop its staking service in the U.S. and pay a $30 million fine when the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recognized its staking service as the equivalent of illegal sales of securities. Because of such bans in the U.S., it is the decentralized platforms where coins will be put. The use of which the SEC will not be able to prohibit technically.

Staking on decentralized platforms

Decentralized liquid staking services allow you to invest in staking coins from Ethereum and other blockchains. Which work on the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithm. And receive derivative tokens of equal value in return. Which are also traded on cryptocurrency exchanges. And can be used for additional earning strategies. Examples of such platforms include Lido, Rocket Pool, Stakewise, and others. Many of them issue their own tokens. Which give you the right to vote in DAOs or get discounts on fees for services.

Our Crypto Upvotes experts point out that the investment appeal of such platforms’ tokens depends not only on the set of their services. But also their overall marketing performance, turnover and trends in the market. Some platforms don’t have a token. But this does not prevent them from attracting users. For example, stake.fish is popular due to the experience and reputation of the f2pool behind it. It is a well-known brand in the niche of mining pools.

Tokens of the largest staking platforms also benefited from the successful Ethereum update. The tokens of Lido (LDO), Rocket Pool (RPL) and Stakewise (SWISE) showed growth of 6-7%.

 

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Staking platforms came in 2nd in DeFi sector in terms of funds sent to them

Cryptocurrency platforms providing liquid staking services came in second place in DeFi sector by volume of funds sent to them

Staking platforms came in second in terms of funds in the DeFi sector, overtaking lending services. According to DeFi platform Llama, the volume of total blocked value (TVL). Liquid staking platforms exceeded $14 billion, while TVL in cryptocurrency lending protocols is about $13.7 billion.

Liquid staking, allows users to earn from Ethereum stacking without having to make a mandatory deposit of 32 ETH. Users can send any amount of ETH or other Proof-of-Stake cryptocurrency coins to staking. Users will receive tokenized versions of their assets in return. For example, in form of stETH token in a 1:1 ratio. The latter can be used in parallel to generate additional income in DeFi-protocols. At the same time, you will not lose earnings from staking assets in the liquid staking service.

Decentralized exchanges (DEX) lead in terms of funds on DeFi-platforms. TVL on them is $19.3 billion. However, this category includes 716 services. While the staking services whose data is collected by the analytics platform are 71.

Over the last month, TVL of just one stacking protocol Lido increased by $1 billion to $9.3 billion, while this figure for leading DEX is almost twice as low: Curve has $4.9 billion, Uniswap has $4.1 billion, and Pancakeswap has $2.5 billion.

On February 25, the Lido team noted that it recorded the largest daily inflow of funds amounting to more than 150,000 ETH (about $245 million). According to crypto analyst Lookonchain, these funds were contributed by Tron blockchain founder and Huobi exchange chief Justin Sun.

On February 27, cryptoprotocol specialists from 0xScope noted that Sun continues to contribute funds to stake on Lido. Additionally, he sent another 88,000 ETH (about $144 million) there.

Reasons for growth

Our experts point out that the influx of funds into liquid staking protocols is caused by the fact that the Ethereum network is scheduled to start updating Shanghai in April 2023. Which will allow to withdraw previously blocked funds in ETH from staking. After it was revealed in January that developers had decided to focus on this particular upgrade feature, staking platform token rates soared by dozens percent and continue to rise.

Also, the growth in popularity of DeFi-protocols from this category was promoted by rumors about the possible ban on staking in USA. There has been no official confirmation of this yet. But the major U.S. exchange Kraken in early February closed stakng for U.S. customers at the request of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

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Ethereum blockchain was used by an Australian bank to create its own stablecoin

Launch of a new cryptocurrency, attached to Australian dollar exchange rate on Ethereum blockchain, scheduled for mid-2023. Crypto-Upvotes expert review

National Australia Bank (NAB), one of four major Australian banks, has created an AUDN stablecoin on the Ethereum blockchain. It will be attached to the rate of Australian dollar (AUD), according to Australian Financial Review. Banks plan to launch this coin in mid-2023.

The goal of creating AUDN is to allow bank customers to make real-time blockchain-based settlements in Australian dollars, the NAB said. AUDN can also be used for a number of other purposes, including carbon credit trading and repo transactions.

NAB also intends to use AUDN for low-cost international transfers. According to the bank, the technology will avoid using the SWIFT system. And reduce dependence on complex and costly relationships with correspondent banks when sending money abroad.

For at least three months AUDN will not be available to customers. Because while the bank under the supervision of regulators is conducting internal testing. Including transfers between subsidiaries and branches.

AUDN is not the first stablecoin to be pegged to the Australian dollar. 9 months earlier, Australia-New Zealand banking group ANZ Bank issued the A$DC (“A dollar DC”) coin. Also Novatti payment system created the AUDD stablecoin on Stellar blockchain. And Ettle has launched AUDE token on Ethereum and Algorand.

There are also stablecoins linked to Australian dollar exchange rates such as AUDT, XAUD, AUDRamp and TrueAUD. Volumes of these cryptocurrencies are minimal.

Last month, Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe said that regulating stable coins should be a priority and should be treated the same as bank deposits. Our experts note that Australia is also actively developing legislation and introducing technology for other digital assets. For example, in the middle of last year, Australian Gold Coast Mayor Tom Tate proposed accepting cryptocurrency in payment of municipal taxes.

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ENS registrar reported that more 2.2 million .eth domains created in 2022

ENS registrar reported that more than 80% of all addresses appeared in the past year. Crypto-Upvotes expert review

Last year, users registered more than 2.2 million addresses in the Ethereum Name System (ENS). This was reported by representatives of the ENS registrar in its official Twitter account. According to ENS Domains website, the number of .eth addresses exceeds 594,000.

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of the Ethereum ecosystem, called ENS-domains the most successful application of NFT technology in an interview with WIRED.

An ENS domain is technically an NFT on a particular wallet. To make a transfer to this wallet, you can specify not its address in the usual format. And replace it with a conveniently readable address such as “vitalik.eth”. Such a wallet address can also be used for authorization in decentralized applications (dApps) and searches in blockchain browsers such as Etherscan.

Domains in the form of NFTs can be traded on leading marketplaces such as Looks Rare or OpenSea. However, the largest marketplace by volume is ENS.Vision, which specializes in ENS domains. According to the platform, the most expensive addresses were “333.eth” and “metaverse.eth,” sold for 100 and 99 ETH, respectively.

Domains are becoming a form of identification in the crypto community. And this provokes demand for short and easily recognizable addresses. Floor price for domains in the “999 Club” category, that is, three digit addresses consisting of numbers, is at 20.22 ETH.

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Visa has developed an autopay solution on Ethereum blockchain

Visa is using a proposal from Ethereum developers. It will allow automatic pre-scheduled payments from non-custodial crypto wallets

Visa has developed a blockchain-based autopay solution. A document published by this company details a new concept based on Account Abstraction (AA) technology from Ethereum developers. It will allow the implementation of automatic pre-planned payments using smart contracts in non-custodial users’ wallets.

Account Abstraction technology was proposed back in 2016. Since the core Ethereum network does not yet support AA. Therefore, VISA implemented its solution in StarkNet, a second-tier blockchain built on top of Ethereum blockchain. The account model in StarkNet just uses AA technology.

Whereas normal accounts check if a transaction is correctly signed for a specific address. With StarkNet, they simply verify that the transaction is coming from a given address. In addition, the introduction of Visa’s concept into this blockchain has not only enabled the deployment of a new auto-payment feature. But also increased transaction throughput.

Visa notes that it sees autopay as a key functionality that the existing blockchain infrastructure lacks. And it invites interested companies working in this area to work together on projects in the field of programmable payments.

Our experts note that payment companies from traditional financial industry this year began to actively develop projects related to blockchain and cryptocurrency. Also at the end of September, SWIFT and Chainlink oracle network announced joint work on a blockchain project. This project will allow traditional financial companies to conduct transactions on a platform that supports almost all blockchains.

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DeFi platforms increased profits amidst FTX collapse

Daily futures trading volume on DeFi platforms reached $5 billion. This is the biggest amount since Terra collapsed in May of this year. Crypto-Upvotes expert review.

DeFi platforms increased revenues amid the outflow of funds from centralized exchanges that occurred due to the collapse of FTX. On-chain data showed an increase in activity on decentralized futures trading platforms and an increase in revenue for DeFi protocols, Cointelegraph reported.

However, not all decentralized applications (DApps) and protocols show such a trend. Because some of them have financial ties to FTX and Alameda. But data on DeFi projects’ revenues show that at least three protocols have exceeded $1 million in the last seven days, including Ethereum and OpenSea Marketplace.

Decentralized futures trading platforms have increased their trading volumes to record levels. Their daily turnover reached $5 billion, the highest since the Terra token crash in May of this year.

Despite the increase in trading volume, the total value of locked-in assets (TVL) at DeFi only increased at seven networks. Gains Network, a futures trading platform on the Polygon network, showed the biggest increase. Its TVL increased 17.3% over the week. And inter-network protocol Ren saw its TVL drop by 50%. This is because Ren worked closely with Alameda. And received quarterly funding and stored its funds directly on FTX.

Blockchain’s profit growth comes on top of an unchanged number of daily active users. Compared to previous weeks, the daily profits of leading blockchains have increased by more than 300%. This suggests that transactions among existing users are occurring more frequently.

Despite growth in profits, only Ethereum made profits among PoS-based blockchains. Other leading networks such as Polygon, BNB Smart Chain and Optimism did not profit. Holders of these tokens suffered inflationary losses.

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The U.S. dollar collapsed against euros. How is this linked to the rise of Bitcoin?

Our Crypto-Upvotes experts discussed how US dollar affects cryptocurrency market. And gave predictions about the further movement of leading cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin rate rose from $19.5 ths. to $21 ths. per day. Ethereum rose by 13% and passed the mark of $1.5 ths. Among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by capitalization, all coins, except stabelcoins, increased in value. Market capitalization of entire digital currencies market showed growth of 6.9% and exceeded $1.047 billion.

At the same time, the US dollar collapsed against the euro on Forex market to its lowest level in five weeks. For the first time in this time, the U.S. currency became cheaper than euro. Dollar index (DXY) is also near a three-week low.

Impact of dollar index on cryptocurrency rates

How Bitcoin and the crypto market in general behave is influenced by the U.S. Dollar Index. Our expert explained that the DXY index (U.S. Dollar Index) shows the dynamics of the dollar against a basket of major world currencies. Such as : Euro, Swiss Franc, Pound Sterling, Canadian Dollar, Japanese Yen and the Swedish Krona.

Thus, the index shows the growth or decline of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of currencies. When the index goes up, Bitcoin usually goes down. And when the index falls, Bitcoin goes up. This inverse correlation between the dollar index and Bitcoin was noticed a decade ago, and has been confirmed constantly since then.

Now Bitcoin’s rise above the $20,000 mark is due to the DXY index going down. The reason for this is the release of good reports by IT giants. As well as relatively positive data on the US labor market. And investors’ hopes that this information will lead FED to stop raising the rate.

Short-term strengthening of BTC or not?

However, despite some slowdown in U.S. inflation. The Fed will continue to tighten monetary policy. According to our expert, there is now too big a gap between inflation and the rate. Therefore, there is no reason to expect a strong slowdown in prices.

As early as next week at the meeting, Fed policymakers may raise the rate again by 75 bps (0.75%) to 4%. If FED declares that this trend will continue in the coming months, then today’s rate rally will be crossed out and sent to the trash garbage can.

According to our expert, we should expect in this case a new decrease of Bitcoin to the area of $15 thousand or even lower. Ethereum may go down to $1,000.

Under current conditions, cryptocurrency investors can liquidate futures positions. And make a profit by simply locking in profits on buy trades. Because there is no certainty that the current growth trend will continue now. Most likely, in the coming days it will be possible to observe the development of demand for the US dollar again.

What are prospects for growth of BTC?

Most likely, the trend of declining cryptocurrency rates may begin to change only in the first half of 2023. According to our expert, that is when the process of Fed’s monetary policy tightening may end. Or the step of rate increase will not exceed 0.25%. Then stock markets will start to form trends on increase of quotations. And on cryptocurrency market too, it will happen.

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